Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.043880 0.051256 0.059370 0.068943 0.079912 0.092069 0.106545
2025-04-27 0.034526 0.044590 0.056685 0.072222 0.091574 0.114800 0.144696
2025-05-04 0.026251 0.037104 0.051216 0.070751 0.096906 0.130502 0.176678
2025-05-11 0.020825 0.031923 0.047403 0.070289 0.102917 0.147346 0.211909
2025-05-18 0.016459 0.027201 0.043184 0.068269 0.106110 0.160382 0.243217
2025-05-25 0.013339 0.023634 0.039885 0.066818 0.109562 0.173766 0.276105
2025-06-01 0.011305 0.021346 0.038072 0.067185 0.115530 0.191177 0.316435
2025-06-08 0.009337 0.018759 0.035296 0.065463 0.117766 0.202831 0.348809
2025-06-15 0.008505 0.018035 0.035532 0.068764 0.128534 0.228965 0.406566
2025-06-22 0.007364 0.016494 0.034039 0.068739 0.133473 0.245814 0.450437
2025-06-29 0.006208 0.014693 0.031758 0.066889 0.134830 0.256523 0.484654
2025-07-06 0.005342 0.013328 0.030095 0.065941 0.137638 0.269887 0.524491
2025-07-13 0.004974 0.013012 0.030555 0.069348 0.149290 0.300615 0.598834
2025-07-20 0.004565 0.012526 0.030587 0.071882 0.159524 0.329701 0.672824
2025-07-27 0.003888 0.011251 0.028686 0.070043 0.160692 0.341643 0.715630
2025-08-03 0.003392 0.010324 0.027419 0.069399 0.164225 0.358449 0.769176
2025-08-10 0.002886 0.009256 0.025636 0.067311 0.164376 0.368433 0.810037
2025-08-17 0.002487 0.008394 0.024208 0.065832 0.165656 0.380762 0.856552
2025-08-24 0.002228 0.007879 0.023572 0.066172 0.171060 0.402142 0.923335
2025-08-31 0.001918 0.007133 0.022199 0.064462 0.171466 0.412792 0.968374
2025-09-07 0.001832 0.007083 0.022721 0.067711 0.184074 0.451224 1.075906
2025-09-14 0.001640 0.006635 0.022044 0.067684 0.188653 0.472089 1.146716
2025-09-21 0.001417 0.006021 0.020776 0.065858 0.188510 0.482166 1.194359